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2006 NFL Draft: Strategic Fantasy Football Forecasts

Free agency changed much of the NFL’s draft projections. Additionally, the scouting combine has changed the fortunes of many prospects, dropping some and pushing others up the scorecards.

Although there will be many changes between now and April 29, Todd Lokken, president of Strategic Fantasy Football, took a look at the top ten picks in this year’s draft. “Many players coming out of school still have a chance to improve their position through individual practices, while others might hit rock bottom with poor results in the same practices,” says Lokken. So, with a month to go, here’s a look at the top 10 picks:

1) Houston Texans: Reggie Bush, RB–USC. No way Houston would trade that pick, and Bush has been the target since the middle of the 2005 college season.

2) New Orleans Saints: D’Brickashaw Ferguson, OT – Virginia. “The Saints need a tackle, and Ferguson is the best on the board right now,” Lokken said. However, don’t be surprised if the Saints trade that pick and try to put Ferguson later in the top 10.

3) Tennessee Titans: Matt Leinart, QB–USC. Lokken says, “If Leinart had come out last year, he would have been the top pick.” However, number 3 isn’t too bad, especially with Steve McNair on the downside of his career.

4) New York Jets: Vince Young, QB – Texas. “Okay, so the Jets traded for Patrick Ramsey. He’s not a long-term solution,” Lokken said. Look for the Jets to take another QB this year, and imagine Vince Young in the Big Apple!

5) Green Bay Packers: AJ Hawk, LB – Ohio State. The Packers have had a shoddy defense for some time. Those in Packer country know that the Mike Sherman era has seen the Packers get worse every year on defense, so this pick is a great start to rebuilding the defense.

6) San Francisco 49ers: Vernon Davis, TE – Maryland. Since trading top receiver Brandon Lloyd, the 49ers will work to surround Alex Smith with quality receivers, and Davis fills that role. “Look for him to make a fantastic impact on fantasy in his first year,” Lokken says.

7) Oakland Raiders: Haloti Ngata, DT – Oregon. Oakland would clearly like a QB there, but Young or Leinart are unlikely to still be available. While Jay Cutler could be a possibility, it’s more likely that Oakland will try to trade (possibly with New Orleans) to grab a QB.

8) Buffalo Bills: Broderick Bunkley, DT – Florida State. While Buffalo would love to have Ngata, Oakland will catch him before Buffalo. “However, if Oakland progresses, Buffalo could definitely end up with Ngata,” Lokken says.

9) Detroit Lions: Michael Huff, DB — Texas. The Lions need defensive help, and Huff brings instant credibility to the NFL. That shouldn’t be a big surprise.

10) Arizona Cardinals: Jay Cutler, QB – Vanderbilt. While Dennis Green and the Cardinals in general have a history of surprises in the NFL Draft, current rumor suggests the Cardinals will go with a QB here. This rumor should ring true, as Cutler should be available.

“Free agency is still in full swing, and coupled with that with draft practices, the first round, especially the top 5, is in full swing,” Lokken says. “Look for a lot of things to change before April 29 and expect plenty of surprises even on draft day.”

Strategic Fantasy Football provides fantasy football analysis and strategy for fantasy football players. For more information, contact Todd Lokken at 847.985.8566.

This article may be reprinted in its entirety as long as the resource box and live links are included intact. All rights reserved. Copyright 2006 Strategic Fantasy Football.

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