You are searching about What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today, today we will share with you article about What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today was compiled and edited by our team from many sources on the internet. Hope this article on the topic What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today is useful to you.
NFL System Spotlight #22 – Play Book Execution Penalties
There is no doubt that rushing and passing stats are the predominant tool of choice for handicappers looking to gauge team strength and point spread accuracy for any given game. My analysis is no different in some ways – many of my situations rely on fundamental ratings such as ROF and PDE which use yards per play stats to reveal situations that have been profitable off the line.
What’s lost in all the attention to how teams rush and pass the ball; However, the fact that there are other equally important aspects of team play that can be just as predictive in nature as some of the more commonly used measures of team skill.
One such area that often flies under the radar of handicappers is statistics related to team penalties and as we will explore here, some types penalties can be a particularly powerful crippling tool in the right situations.
I’ve always found penalties to be an intriguing aspect of NFL play and their effect is undeniable – who hasn’t felt the sting of an ill-timed penalty that suddenly breathes new life into a practice that seemed over within moments? previously with an almost seeded victory spread. Untimely penalties can cost a team a game in the blink of an eye and turn a discarded winner into a loser faster than TO can autograph a ball (in the end zone of course).
I actually followed the penalty footage statistics since the 1994 season and penalty distance differential (an average per game that takes penalties called on opponents minus penalties assessed to the team in question) is the basis of another successful trend which is 78-14 ATS over the past 13 seasons.
While it’s good to know how many penalty yards a team averaged per game, or had in a previous game, this type of analysis tells us nothing about the particular TYPES of penalties a team is imposed and the actual manner in which the final total penalty yardage shown in the score box was achieved.
Is the team in question taking a lot of offensive hold calls due to a lack of size on the line? Or, are they being hit with an abundance of pass interference calls from a second-string CB forced out due to injury? By separating penalties into more detailed categories and looking at them based on number of calls, as opposed to yards, we can begin to get better answers to questions like the ones posed above.
Ultimately, the majority of penalties called in modern NFL play can be attributed to one of 6 categories:
1) False Start Penalties (FSP)
2) Offensive Holding Penalties (OHP)
3) Play Book Execution Penalties (PBEP)
4) Defensive Line Penalties (DLP)
5) Defensive Secondary Penalties (DSP)
6) Stupid Penalties (DMP)
The category that is the subject of this article is the 3rd listed: Play Book Execution Penalties. This group includes any offense related to the distribution of play calls. Examples of these include: Illegal formations, shifts, moves, snaps, participation, substitutions and procedures; Game delay (in some cases); Illegal forward passes; 12 men on the ground; Invalid receivers and so on. For a full breakdown of the other categories, please see page 12 of the 2007 NFL Game Sheet Guide.
The league average for PBEP is typically around 0.7 calls per game (on each team). Arizona was worst in the league in 2006 for PBEP against averaging 1.5 per game while Pittsburgh and Denver were 1-2 in the league with a PBEP versus averaging 0.2 and 0.4 per game respectively.
As a standalone statistic, PBEP is a good yardstick for measuring the quality of a team’s coaching staff and also provides an indication of whether players are being used in programs where they are comfortable and have the necessary skills. to succeed. It’s no coincidence that teams like the Steelers and Patriots have low PBEPA averages year after year while others, like the Cardinals, rank near the bottom.
When it comes to handicap versus point spread, the PBEPA becomes a useful tool when teams with an extremely high PBEPA are examined.
Since the 2002 season, teams with a PBEPA average more than double the league average of 0.7 (> +1.5 to be exact) are dismal 168-213 (44.1%) ATS against the number. In the past 5 seasons alone, placing bets based on this simple strategy would have netted you a net profit of $2,820 with a stake of $110 to recoup $100 on each game.
There is actually a second “building block”, or primary condition that I like to use for this situation and which is: to include only games where the opponent has a higher defensive secondary penalty against average (DSPA). When this condition is added, the situation record is reduced to 55-110 (33.3%) ATS and earnings for the past 5 years climb to $4,950.
DSP penalties involve flags thrown primarily at cornerbacks and safeties, usually for defensive pass interference and illegal contact. The complex relationship between PBE and DS penalties is something that requires further study on my part, but, suffice it to say, for whatever reason they are firmly linked and the drastic improvement this situation gains when only teams with a higher average DSPA are included is proof of their correlation.
To complete this situation, there are two secondary conditions. The first clarifies that games with an Over/Under less than 38 should not be included and the 2nd removes teams that come out of their bye week (teams with PBEPA issues perform better compared to the gap when they benefit from an additional week of training).
Here are all the details.
(Remarks: ASMR represents the estimate of the average spread margin. A positive rating indicates a stronger than average trend relative to the line, negative – weaker than average. TDIS % is the percentage of teams in the league that have been involved in this situation at one time or another. % weight is the percentage of teams that are .500 or better and PSR is the average spread for teams in this situation. For more details, please see page 13 of my 2007 NFL Game Sheet Guide.)
Situational Trend Summary #22 (last updated January 15, 2008)
Primary conditions (building blocks)
1) Play Book Execution Penalty Against (PBEPA) Average > +1.5 per game.
2) The opponent has a higher Secondary Defensive Penalty Average (DSPA).
Secondary conditions (tensioners)
1) The team does not come out of a week off.
2) Exclude Over/Under (OU) from situation statistics
Home %: 56.3
% weight: 38.8
Best teams: ARI (13); KEY(10); PHI(9); WED(9)
Overall (since ’01): 21-82 TTY
2007 season: 2-5 CÉP
2006 season: 0-7 ATS
2005 season: 5-20 ATS
2004 season: 10-30 ATS
3 last results. Choose between parentheses.
2007 WK15–MIA 22 BAL 16 (BAL -3.5) L
2007 WK13–NYJ 40 MIA 13 (NYJ+1)W
2007 WK11–PHI 17 MIA 7 (PHI -9.5) W.
Video about What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
You can see more content about What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today on our youtube channel: Click Here
Question about What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
If you have any questions about What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today, please let us know, all your questions or suggestions will help us improve in the following articles!
The article What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today was compiled by me and my team from many sources. If you find the article What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today helpful to you, please support the team Like or Share!
Rate Articles What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
Rate: 4-5 stars
Search keywords What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
way What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
tutorial What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today
What Channel Is The Ou Football Game On Today free
#NFL #System #Spotlight #Play #Book #Execution #Penalties