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NFL Preseason Football Handicapping Tips Part 3
During the NFL preseason, unique conditions are in place; therefore, successful sports handicapping and investing requires different strategies than those used at any other time in the professional football season. Previously, we revealed some pre-season football handicap tips involving training and team motivation. This week, we are going to focus on QB ROTATIONS.
One of our favorite NFL preseason handicapping strategies is to:
Play AGAINST a team with rookie QBs who will see significant playing time, such as the 2nd half of a game, especially in Week 1.
These young QBs are often late picks and undrafted free agents, not the crème de la crème of quarterbacks. Their lack of knowledge of the offensive pattern and speed of NFL defenders often gets them into trouble. Even great college QBs can be schooled during the preseason. We took advantage of such an opportunity with USC legend Matt Leinart. He was making his NFL debut with Arizona and facing the Patriots, who were favored by 3½ points. It’s rare that we face a team favored by more than one FG during the NFL preseason; however, it was too good to pass up, as we noted in our GAMEDAY INVESTMENT e-LERT article:
“EURoeWhile Leinart can indeed have a long and productive career in the league, he thinks he is way above his head here. He had little practice with Arizona and never even attended an NFL game. Getting his rookie debut on the road against the Patriots, who like to confuse opposing QBs with various schemes and blitzes even in the preseason, is not a recipe for success. New England defenders will be highly motivated to give Leinart a rude welcome to professional football.
This one got ugly early on, as the Patriots stuck the Cardinals, 30-3, as we beat the gap by more than 3 touchdowns.
Some other pre-season handicap tips are as follows:
Play on a team with experienced backup QBs who have prior experience with the team and will see significant playing time, such as the 2nd half of a game. – This will most often happen early in the preseason, especially Week 1. Due to their familiarity with the offensive pattern and speed of NFL defenders, these veteran QBs are much less likely to make mistakes reviews.
Play ON a team with a battle between 2 good motivated QBs for starting position, especially if the 1st string offense will see extended playing time in order to get playing time with both QBs. – This can create a huge lag, where the 2nd QB and 1st chain offense clashes with an opponent’s saves.
QB rotation was certainly a key factor in an e-LERT PRO INFO SPORTS NFL GAMEDAY INVESTMENT ALL-STAR SELECTION in which we took an underdog Panthers team to Jacksonville, noting:
âEURoeAn inspired Minter and company will look to slow down the Jaguars QB who had 4 TD passes over 50 yards last week. While David Garrard was impressive, throwing two of TD’s long passes, it was in the second half against tired Miami backups. Garrard will face a much tougher test Saturday night against the Panthers, whose first-team defense held Buffalo without a first down in four series last week. Garrard will face the first stringers as Leftwich will only play briefly due to a sore arm. It will also mean an earlier appearance for QB No. 3 from Jacksonville.
With poor QB rotation against a strong defense, it’s no wonder the Jaguars could only manage 10 points and lost by a TD to the Panthers for another PRO INFO SPORTS NFLX winning STAR SELECTION.
Next time in Part 4 of PRO INFO SPORTS NFL’s Preseason Football Handicap Tips, we’ll look at GAME PLANS next.
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